US economy is in a tough spot that’s creating both risks and opportunities for crypto investors – 16 March 2025

So, if we look at the time zones (UTC+6), here’s the pattern:

Morning to afternoon (8 AM – 3 PM) → Chill vibes, not much action.

Late afternoon to night (4 PM – 11 PM) → Market goes red.

Midnight to early morning (12 AM – 8 AM) → Green candles, baby!

Central Banks and Interest Rates:

The Bank of Canada (BOC) just announced its interest rate decision: 2.75%. This matches what people expected, but it’s down from the previous 3%.

In the past, the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) often followed similar moves as Canada, but now their relationship isn’t as strong. So, we’re keeping an eye on whether the Fed will cut rates or not.

If the Fed doesn’t cut rates, money might flow into Canada instead of the U.S. This could shake things up in the markets.

The U.S. Economy Needs a Detox:

U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent is right—the U.S. economy is struggling and needs a reset. But the current plans (like Trump’s policies) are more like putting a band-aid on a broken arm.

To really fix things, interest rates need to go up, spending needs to be cut, and the U.S. needs to rebuild its manufacturing base. Until then, the economy is just delaying its inevitable crash.

The Debt Problem:

The U.S. is drowning in debt. Right now, the national debt is $36.4 trillion, and it’s predicted to grow by another $4 trillion this year. That’s like adding $1 trillion every 100 days!

Even with high interest rates, the money supply (M2) is increasing, which could lead to inflation. This is why some people think a bull run in crypto might be starting—more money in the system often means more investment in risky assets like crypto.

Here’s where it gets interesting. The crypto market often “cheats” during weekends. Let me explain:

Friday: The market usually rises (green candles).

Saturday: It’s calm (sideways movement), but it often ends the day green.

Sunday: This is when the market “cheats” or “steals a start.” If Asia’s market opens strong on Sunday, it sets the tone for Monday. But if Asia’s market is red on Sunday, Monday might start red too.

We’re testing this theory now. If the pattern holds, it could give us clues about how the market will behave next week.

The crypto market is like a puzzle, and the pieces are constantly moving. Interest rates, debt, and global economic policies all play a role in shaping its ups and downs. Right now, the U.S. economy is in a tough spot, and that’s creating both risks and opportunities for crypto investors.

So, keep an eye on those red and green candles, and remember: the market loves to surprise us. Whether it’s a bull run or a dip, the story is always evolving.