Author: ngadmin

So, bro, here’s what’s up with the economy today. The U.S. just released its inflation numbers, and basically, prices are creeping up. The core inflation rate jumped a little, which means things aren’t getting cheaper anytime soon. People’s salaries did go up by 0.4%, but their spending went up even more—0.7%. It’s like your salary got a small raise, but your monthly expenses decided to sprint ahead.

Now, let’s talk about ETH. Every time ETH’s price dips, guess who’s buying? BlackRock. They’re holding ETH down on purpose. Why? So they can monopolize it. If ETH becomes too decentralized, it could threaten U.S. financial control. The proof? BlackRock dropped $83 million on ETH, but the price barely moved.

Here’s how they do it: BlackRock tells Jane Street (a big trading firm) to short ETH and sell a bunch of it, keeping the price low. Meanwhile, they quietly buy it up. Jane Street gets ETH through off-market deals (OTC) from places like Binance. Binance, in turn, collects ETH from transaction fees on their exchange. But BlackRock can’t just buy directly from Jane Street—they have to go through an SEC-approved exchange like Coinbase, so they stay within the rules.

This isn’t just about ETH. When XRP, SOL, HBAR, or even DOGE get their ETFs, the same thing will happen. It’s a waiting game—takes about eight months. And by the time regular folks think it’s time to buy, the big players have already cashed in. That’s why people say, “ETF is a sell-the-news event.” The rich don’t want to hold the bag for years—they want you to.

Now, about tariffs—people freak out over them, but they actually push inflation up. Who pays these tariffs? The public, not the exporting country. But tariffs do boost the U.S. economy by increasing money circulation. Trump’s using tariffs as a way to make other countries’ currencies weaker, so when the U.S. prints more dollars, inflation doesn’t spike too hard because other nations absorb the extra supply.

And here’s the bigger picture: Money isn’t actually “money”—it’s just an IOU from the central bank. Back in the day, every dollar was backed by gold (1 USD = 0.88 grams of gold). But in 1971, Nixon ditched that system, letting the dollar float freely. To keep demand for dollars high, the U.S. made a deal with Saudi Arabia—every oil trade had to be in dollars. That’s the birth of the Petrodollar. But in reality, this deal didn’t really protect Saudi Arabia—it locked them into relying on the U.S., giving America massive leverage over them.

So, at the end of the day, money isn’t really a store of value anymore. It’s just government-issued debt that we all agree to use. That’s why the question isn’t “Why tax people when the government can print money?” It’s actually, “Why tax people when the government can print debt?” Sounds dumb, right? Exactly.

And about Trump—he wants to cut red tape and hand out loans to boost the economy. Sounds nice, but increasing loans just increases inflation. If someone tells you Bitcoin crashed because of tariffs, don’t even argue—it’s deeper than that. The real game is controlled by the Fed, not government policies.

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So yeah, that’s the tea. Don’t get FOMO, don’t just screenshot charts—stack up real money and play the long game.

So, the U.S. economy is kinda in a weird spot right now. People are making less money, and fewer houses are being bought. But wait—unemployment claims are down, which kinda makes sense since a bunch of people got deported. Basically, Trump is trying to get the economy moving, but he’s using the people as an excuse.

Now, for the crypto market today:

• Morning (8-10 AM UTC+6): A bit slow, slightly red, nothing crazy.
• Midday (11-3 PM): Green, thanks to Japan’s 2-year government bonds, which could push Yen inflation.
• Afternoon (4-9 PM): If inflation (PCE data) is too high, the Fed might have to get aggressive, meaning Bitcoin could dip.
• Evening (10-11:30 PM): Green again, big players are full for now, no crazy moves.
• Late night (12-8 AM): Mostly red as the RRP (reverse repo) spikes for the last day of January.
• If PCE isn’t too bad, Bitcoin might hold up okay.

Now, here’s the kicker—Trump just announced this big economic stimulus plan with a fancy name about helping people with rising prices. Sounds nice, but in reality, it’s just printing more money. The problem? He doesn’t really get how finance works.

Inflation doesn’t happen because of too many regulations or greedy companies—it happens when the Fed prints too much money and lowers interest rates. Trump thinks cutting rates will lower prices, but actually, it’ll just make things more expensive in the long run. Sure, it might boost the economy short-term, but it wrecks purchasing power because wages won’t keep up with rising costs.

Ron Paul (legend) says the U.S. needs a free market—basically, the government shouldn’t control money, the market should. History kinda proves that when governments mess with money, it leads to chaos, inequality, and unfair advantages.

So what does all this mean for crypto?
Since the money supply (M2) is increasing, Bitcoin is still looking good for a rise.

Yo, bro, here’s the deal with crypto today:

The Fed just kept interest rates at 4.5%, meaning no hike or cut—just a pause. But Powell (the Fed chair) sounded super chill about it. What’s even crazier? He basically said banks in the U.S. can handle crypto transactions now. And since the U.S. is a trendsetter, that could mean more global adoption.

Now, there’s something called RRP, and it’s been moving up. But don’t get it twisted—it’s not because of interest rates. It’s because Powell is being soft on crypto. If the Fed actually cuts rates, this could pump even more. Oh, and here’s the part I love—Powell admitted interest rates are still above the neutral rate, meaning there’s a high chance they cut again in March.

What’s happening today?

• There’s GDP data, jobless claims, and home sales reports. Big stuff.
• Bitcoin’s dip? It’s just waiting for its next move up.
• If Japan’s economy shows strength, BTC could see some action later tonight. Why? Because Japan’s economy is tied to the U.S., so when the Fed pauses, Japan might feel comfortable hiking rates. That creates an early trading opportunity.

Market timeline (UTC+6):

• 9 AM – 3 PM → Green (Japan plays a role here, bond buying drops but foreign investors grab Japanese stocks)
• 4 PM – 5:30 PM → Red (Some big spending announcements)
• 6 PM – 10 PM → Green (GDP, jobs data, home sales reports drop)
• 10 PM – 11:30 PM → Market moves sideways
• Midnight – 8 AM → Green again (RRP effects kick in)

Why next week looks interesting:

• Right now, the market hasn’t absorbed China’s liquidity yet because of the Lunar New Year.
• Next week, when the PBOC (China’s central bank) gets back in action, Bitcoin should see some green.
• If the Japanese Yen weakens, the Chinese Yuan might follow. China wants to stay competitive against Japan, so they’ll likely keep their monetary policy loose.

Key event tonight:

• Initial Jobless Claims → This tracks how many people in the U.S. applied for unemployment benefits. More claims = weaker dollar (DXY down). Fewer claims = stronger dollar (DXY up).
• GDP report → If GDP rises, inflation rises, which usually boosts Bitcoin. If GDP drops, the economy is in trouble, and liquidity injections might come (good for BTC).
• Pending home sales → Measures home purchases under contract but not closed yet. If this rises, the dollar strengthens. If it falls, the dollar weakens.

So what’s the takeaway?

• Everything in the market comes down to liquidity. More liquidity = higher Bitcoin.
• Since Trump’s presidency, these reports have actually started making sense. If jobless claims rise, GDP drops, and home sales fall, that’s real trouble, and the Fed will have no choice but to inject liquidity.
• At the end of the day, it’s all about the money flow.

And if someone still asks, “Where’s Bitcoin going?” The answer is simple: If I knew, I wouldn’t be here talking about it, I’d already be rich.