Author: ngadmin

So, Bitcoin’s up—right on cue, even though China’s M1 (which is basically the cash and short-term deposits circulating in the economy) hasn’t surged yet. The U.S. market’s pretty chill today since there’s no major economic data dropping, but later tonight, Powell is speaking, and if he’s sounding dovish (meaning he’s hinting at lower interest rates), that could shake things up. Also, the Fed’s reverse repo (RRP) is dropping again, which is a good sign for liquidity.

Now, China’s economy is showing signs of recovery, but the real game-changer will be when M1 really takes off. If it does, Bitcoin could pump because more cash in circulation means more liquidity, and Bitcoin thrives on that. Right now, China is holding back on stimulus because they don’t want the U.S. to suck up their liquidity, and the U.S. is slapping tariffs to avoid the same thing happening in reverse. It’s a tug-of-war.

Looking at today’s market timeline (UTC+6):

• Morning (8-10 AM): Likely green, thanks to Trump’s aggressive tariffs.
• Midday (11 AM – 3 PM): Quiet, no major data.
• Afternoon (4-7 PM): Another green push if China’s M1 moves up.
• Evening (8-11 PM): Market’s in wait-and-see mode for Powell’s testimony.
• Late Night (12-8 AM): If Powell’s dovish and RRP keeps dropping, expect Bitcoin to rally.

Big picture: We’ve gone from trade wars to energy wars, to sanctions, to tariff battles, and maybe—just maybe—an actual war. The U.S. won’t give up its global dominance without a fight. Trump’s playing hardball, pushing his own version of a ‘new world order,’ and a lot of it revolves around the Middle East because, well… money follows oil. If Arab nations stay quiet, then there’s another plan in the works.

Meanwhile, gold just hit a record high after Trump’s tariffs on steel and aluminum—classic move. When uncertainty rises, people run to gold. Same logic applies to Bitcoin. If these tariffs don’t hit hard enough, the dollar (DXY) will drop, and Bitcoin could soar.

Final thought? Keep an eye on government spending—that’s the real tax. Whether they fund it through direct taxes or backdoor inflation, regular people foot the bill one way or another. And with all this chaos, the big players—like the Fed and Trump—are making moves to stay on top.

So yeah, buckle up. It’s gonna be a wild ride.

Trump is going all-in, reshuffling the global order, and guess where it all starts? Palestine. That’s why the world’s eyes are glued there—because the real key isn’t politics, it’s money. And the money? Oil. Unless the Arab nations stay quiet, expect things to play out differently.

Trump’s basically throwing gasoline on the fire—”Let all hell break loose” mode. The louder he gets, the more it feels like there’s a bigger plan in the shadows. But no matter how clever the game, higher forces always have the final say.

Now, the U.S. slapped tariffs on steel and aluminum, and surprise—gold hit a record high. Why? Because when things get messy, smart money runs to gold. It’s the same with Bitcoin. If tariffs don’t hit hard enough and the dollar (DXY) weakens, Bitcoin could pump.

Meanwhile, Australia just got a tariff exemption from Trump. And you know what that means? Other allies will want the same treatment. If too many get exemptions, the whole tariff game loses its bite. Again—good for Bitcoin.

On the Fed side, 57 economists now expect rate cuts this year (up from 56 last month). The takeaway? The U.S. is still printing money, but it’s losing its magic. The system is so chaotic that even endless money printing isn’t having the same effect. But make no mistake—Trump knows how to turn chaos into cash.

Then there’s the reverse repo (RRP) situation. The Fed just accepted zero billion in submissions (basically, banks aren’t parking cash there), and 41 institutions just pulled nearly $100 billion out of the system. Translation? Money’s moving, and liquidity is shifting—tonight could be interesting.

Final thought: Want to understand where the economy is really heading? Forget all the noise—just look at government spending. That’s the real tax. If they don’t take your money through direct taxes, they’ll take it through inflation or higher loan rates. Either way, you pay.

So yeah, the world’s in flux. Trade wars, energy battles, currency wars—it’s all connected. The U.S. won’t hand over its global power without a fight. And Bitcoin? It’s either a safe haven or a rollercoaster, depending on how this all plays out.

So, the crypto market got a bit shaken up because Trump decided to slap a 25% tariff on steel imports. Imagine this: the U.S. doesn’t even produce enough steel, so they have to import it. But now, they’re making it more expensive by adding a tariff, hoping the economy will still grow. Doesn’t really add up, right?

Now, because of this tariff move, the U.S. dollar got stronger, which put pressure on Bitcoin. A small dip is normal—America is basically trying to raise money without taking on more debt. But here’s the thing: a strong dollar makes it harder for inflation to drop. And guess what? If China retaliates with its own tariffs, the dollar could take a hit later.

Long story short—gold is looking solid right now.

For today’s market moves:

• Morning to early afternoon (8-15:00 UTC+6): Expect some green. The focus is on China’s money supply data, but if that’s delayed, Japan’s bank lending data could help.
• Late afternoon (16-18:00 UTC+6): Some red as Asian markets close.
• Evening (18-22:00 UTC+6): Should turn green again since people are starting to ignore Trump’s bluff.
• Late night (22-00:00 UTC+6): Likely red.
• Overnight (00-08:00 UTC+6): Green again as overnight funding rates drop.

Now, let’s talk about copper. On Friday, it jumped almost 3%, and it’s already up over 12% this year—just one month in! For comparison, in all of 2024, it only rose 7%. That’s crazy. Copper is essential for everything—construction, tech, you name it. So if the Fed thinks inflation will drop this year, they clearly haven’t been watching copper prices. And if steel starts following copper’s lead? Good luck building anything cheap. House prices dropping? Yeah, right. If someone tells you that, they’re out of their mind.

Meanwhile, over in China:

• China Unicom, Alibaba, and other big names are seeing nice gains.
• XPeng, though, is down nearly 3%.
• One big shocker—Dong Feng Auto shot up 15% after announcing a merger with other state-owned companies. Something’s brewing there.

On the currency side, the Chinese yuan just hit its weakest level since January 20. Translation? China might be looking to push its exports harder by making the yuan cheaper.

Basically, China’s cooking something. Let’s see where it goes.

Bro, Saturday is chill.

The market is woles (calm). Bitcoin’s price today won’t be far from Friday’s closing price. No big moves expected.

But let’s check the economic data:

• Retail Sales down
• Factory Orders down
• Durable Goods Orders down
• Job Openings down
• But ADP up, while NFP down

So, where’s inflation heading? Up, obviously.
And next week, we’ll be talking about this again… until you get sick of it. 

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Crypto Movement Prediction Based on Saturday

• If Saturday is calm? Sunday starts early, Monday pumps.
• If Saturday is red? Sunday will be worse, Monday will pump and dump.
• If Saturday is green? Sunday even more bullish, and Monday could hit ATH (All-Time High).

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Ethereum’s Biggest Short in History – What Does It Mean?

Guess what? Ethereum short positions are at an all-time high right now.

Meanwhile, guess who’s buying Ethereum?

• BlackRock – buying ETH.
• Trump – buying ETH.
• Fidelity – buying ETH.

And you still don’t believe in alt season?
If you don’t believe it, fine, don’t follow the market. But data doesn’t lie.

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Shorting Big Won’t Last Forever

Here’s the thing, you can’t short the market forever. Short sellers also need money to go long.
Elites always see opportunities, that’s why they’re elites.

Aren’t you curious? Why are they suddenly so focused on Ethereum?

• If Ethereum was worthless, why is BlackRock & Fidelity buying?
• If Ethereum had no future, why are elites shorting it so aggressively?

They need exit liquidity, and retail investors who don’t understand will get hit by FUD and sell.
But those who get it? They’re just sitting back and DCA’ing.

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Conclusion?

• The market is calm today, no major moves.
• Ethereum is being shorted like crazy, but big players are buying.
• If Saturday is chill, Monday could be a big green day.
• Alt season? It’s right around the corner.

Crypto isn’t for everyone.
But if you understand the game, just wait for the profits to roll in. 

 Bro, Saturday is chill.

The market is woles (calm). Bitcoin’s price today won’t be far from Friday’s closing price. No big moves expected.

But let’s check the economic data:

• Retail Sales down
• Factory Orders down
• Durable Goods Orders down
• Job Openings down
• But ADP up, while NFP down

So, where’s inflation heading? Up, obviously.
And next week, we’ll be talking about this again… until you get sick of it. 

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Crypto Movement Prediction Based on Saturday

• If Saturday is calm? Sunday starts early, Monday pumps.
• If Saturday is red? Sunday will be worse, Monday will pump and dump.
• If Saturday is green? Sunday even more bullish, and Monday could hit ATH (All-Time High).

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Ethereum’s Biggest Short in History – What Does It Mean?

Guess what? Ethereum short positions are at an all-time high right now.

Meanwhile, guess who’s buying Ethereum?

• BlackRock – buying ETH.
• Trump – buying ETH.
• Fidelity – buying ETH.

And you still don’t believe in alt season?
If you don’t believe it, fine, don’t follow the market. But data doesn’t lie.

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Shorting Big Won’t Last Forever

Here’s the thing, you can’t short the market forever. Short sellers also need money to go long.
Elites always see opportunities, that’s why they’re elites.

Aren’t you curious? Why are they suddenly so focused on Ethereum?

• If Ethereum was worthless, why is BlackRock & Fidelity buying?
• If Ethereum had no future, why are elites shorting it so aggressively?

They need exit liquidity, and retail investors who don’t understand will get hit by FUD and sell.
But those who get it? They’re just sitting back and DCA’ing.

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Conclusion?

• The market is calm today, no major moves.
• Ethereum is being shorted like crazy, but big players are buying.
• If Saturday is chill, Monday could be a big green day.
• Alt season? It’s right around the corner.

Crypto isn’t for everyone.
But if you understand the game, just wait for the profits to roll in. 

Bro, every data point has weight, and not all are equal.”

Think of it this way: Weekly jobless claims (Claim Data) don’t shake the market like Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) because NFP only comes out once a month. Bigger gap = bigger impact. When NFP drops, expect Bitcoin to react hard.

Every month, I break down the same key economic indicators to predict inflation early. Why? Because inflation predictions lead to FOMC decisions. That’s the game.

Now, we already have the data we need for next week’s inflation prediction:

• Retail sales are down
• Factory orders down
• Durable goods orders down
• Job openings down
• But private payrolls (ADP) are up

So where’s NFP heading? If you analyze the 4P’s (Jobs, Unemployment, Housing, and Money Printing), the conclusion is clear:
Jobs down + Unemployment up + Housing prices up + Less money printing = Inflation up next week

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Bitcoin & Inflation: The Real Relationship

Bitcoin is a hedge against inflation. If a country announces rising inflation, Bitcoin usually pumps—unless that country raises interest rates.
Short term? Bitcoin might struggle.
Long term? Bitcoin wins.
Why? Because interest rates can’t rise forever.
You can’t go from eating salmon to eating canned sardines forever.

Bitcoin’s fuel? Newly printed money—not from economic growth, but from the economy itself. So if Bitcoin can rise under “normal” conditions, imagine what happens when things start breaking.

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Crypto Market Predictions (UTC+6 Timezone)

• 8-10 AM: Green. Japan’s inflation numbers are up, so crypto follows.
• 11-3 PM: Green. China’s central bank (PBOC) injecting liquidity.
• 4-6 PM: Red. Asian markets close, bringing short-term selling.
• 6-10 PM: Green. NFP drops, dollar weakens, Bitcoin pumps.
• 10-12 AM: Volatile (Wicky). Unmich Consumer Sentiment up + China’s USD reserves fall. Normally bullish, but expect manipulation from Jane Street.
• 1-8 AM: Green. Reverse Repo (RRP) barely dropped, but I expect a full crash soon.

Why? Trump is softening on rate cuts. That means the Fed secretly promised something behind the scenes—probably increasing money supply while keeping rates on hold. That’s done by draining RRP to zero instead of printing outright.

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The Bigger Picture: What’s the U.S. Doing?

Trump wants stimulus (more money in circulation), but the Fed won’t cut rates. Instead, they’ll find other ways to keep the economy “alive” without openly admitting they’re printing money.

How?

• Cut down on government spending (immigration cuts, foreign aid reductions, troop withdrawals).
• Reduce the number of people “holding” dollars (forcing other countries to spend their reserves).
• Maintain dollar liquidity without flooding the market.

It’s a delicate balance. But in the end, if NFP is down, inflation is up, and the dollar tanks (DXY down).

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Gold is Mooning – Here’s Why

Both UBS and Citi just raised their gold price forecasts to $3,000/oz.

• UBS: Gold will rise due to rate cuts, uncertainty, and central bank buying.
• Citi: Trade wars, de-dollarization under Trump, and geopolitical risks will push gold up.

Right now, gold is at $2,870/oz, already hitting new highs. The trend is clear—gold is in a bull market and isn’t slowing down.

This isn’t a bank-run era, this is a gold-run era.
Gold is telling you: “Your money is losing value.”

If global liquidity is coming from failing economies, inflation will explode into double digits. And when that happens, gold hits $3,000+.

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What About Crypto?

USDT, USDC, and other stablecoins = digital dollars
If the U.S. can speed up adoption, the Fed will support it.

Meaning?

• More people worldwide will hold digital dollars (Thailand already holds more USDT than Thai Baht).
• This helps the U.S. offload inflation to other countries.
• It’s actually bullish for crypto because it expands the market cap.

Stablecoins are just for trading crypto—you can’t buy street food with USDT.
But the bigger their adoption, the bigger the crypto market grows.

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Bottom line:

• Bitcoin reacts to inflation data.
• The U.S. is playing a game of stealth money printing.
• Gold is screaming “cash is trash.”
• Stablecoins are feeding the crypto bull run.

See the bigger picture.

Morning update on crypto, my dude.”

So, some interesting stuff is happening in the market today. The ADP jobs report is up, meaning more people got hired in private companies. At the same time, the Reverse Repo (RRP) is down, which basically means there’s more money flowing in the system.

Now, here’s the weird part:

• Factory spending (PMI) is up, but factory orders are down.
• People are spending less on durable goods (big purchases like cars and appliances).
• Job openings are dropping (JOLTS), which usually signals a weaker job market.
• But somehow, private-sector jobs (ADP) are increasing? Like, how does that even make sense?

It’s like watching a magic trick—things don’t quite add up. But we can already predict that tonight’s unemployment claims report (Claim Data) will probably go up, and by Friday, the total jobs report (NFP) should follow that direction too.

What This Means for Crypto

Big news events might make the market go up and down like crazy (pump and dump), but in the long run, fundamentals decide the real trend.

• I’m not selling and I’m staying in the market because crypto is here to stay.
• WAGMI (We’re All Gonna Make It).

Trump’s Moves & What’s Next

Since Trump took office, unemployment claims have been rising, and they’re not even adjusting the numbers anymore. Usually, they tweak the data later, but now? They’re just letting it run up. So, we might need to change our mindset:

• Good news = Good for the market.
• Bad news = Bad for the market.

Simple as that. If unemployment claims keep rising, it’s bad for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) but good for Bitcoin. But the real question is: where’s Trump going to get money to fix unemployment?

Answer: Stimulus.

More money printing means more inflation, which pushes gold and Bitcoin higher. And when Trump says “gold going up means people have no money,” just remember: rich people don’t talk about money, they just hold assets quietly.

And What About BlackRock?

• BlackRock (the biggest asset manager in the world) is launching a Bitcoin fund in Europe.
• If we were in a real bear market, why would they do that?
• Oh, and they just made the biggest Ethereum purchase in history.

Come on, use common sense—these guys aren’t playing games. If they’re buying, it’s because they see something coming.

So yeah, let the weak hands leave the market. We’ll just sit tight and get rich first.

Crypto Movement Forecast – What to Expect Today UTC+6

Crypto doesn’t just move randomly—there’s a rhythm to it, based on liquidity and big market players making their moves. Here’s the play-by-play of what’s likely to happen today:

08:00 – 15:00 (Green ) – Bounce Back After a Big Shakeout

• There was a long squeeze earlier (meaning a bunch of leveraged traders got liquidated, pushing prices down).
• But now, the market is bouncing back because China’s central bank (PBOC) is injecting liquidity.
• Importantly, they’re not draining it, meaning they’re actually adding money into the system instead of taking it out.
• So, expect prices to recover and trend up.

16:00 – 18:00 (Red ) – Asian Market Closes, Selling Pressure Hits

• When Asia’s market closes, some traders take profits, leading to a temporary dip.
• This happens often because big traders don’t want to hold risky positions overnight.

19:00 – 22:00 (Green ) – Unemployment Claims Report Comes Out

• The Claim Data (unemployment numbers) is expected to go up.
• Since bad news for the economy = good news for Bitcoin, crypto should get a boost.
• Why? A weak job market increases the chances of government stimulus, which means more money printing—bullish for Bitcoin.

22:00 – 23:00 (Red ) – Jane Street Plays Their Games

• Jane Street (one of the biggest market makers) tends to mess with the market during this time.
• Expect sudden price manipulations, fake pumps/dumps, and general market confusion.
• If you’re a trader, this is a time to be cautious—don’t fall for their tricks.

00:00 – 08:00 (Green ) – Liquidity Boost, No Executive Orders Expected

• RRP (Reverse Repo) is dropping, meaning more liquidity is coming into the market.
• This should keep crypto trending up overnight.
• No new executive orders expected from the U.S., so there’s no sudden regulatory risk hitting the market.

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Why Was the Market Red Earlier Today?

• The Federal Reserve announced that 22 banks will undergo stress tests.
• What’s a stress test? It’s when they check if banks can survive financial crises by temporarily draining their liquidity.
• Less liquidity means banks struggle, and markets react negatively.
• But here’s the kicker: they’re doing this to prepare for upcoming stimulus, which will bring back liquidity later.

What This Means Overall

• Short-term dips are just setups for long-term gains.
• The Fed is testing the waters before injecting more money, which is bullish for assets like Bitcoin and gold.
• Don’t get shaken out by short-term volatility—big players are positioning themselves.

If you’re holding, just chill. The game is rigged in favor of those who stay patient.

So, here’s what’s going on in the crypto and financial world today. It’s kind of a mess, but if you zoom out, there’s a bigger game at play.

1. The Political Circus & Hidden Agendas

You know how politicians love to stir up drama? Right now, Trump is doing just that—talking about tariffs, blaming Iran, and making unpredictable statements. But the real deal? It’s likely a distraction from the economy slowing down.

• Factory orders are weak, meaning businesses aren’t ordering as much, which is a bad sign for economic growth.
• The U.S. debt situation isn’t great, and they can’t just keep borrowing forever.
• Iran somehow ended up leading the UN Human Rights Council, which is super controversial, so the U.S. just decided to leave.
• Basically, the key takeaway is: watch what they’re not saying—the real moves happen behind the scenes.

2. What’s Happening in the Markets Today

Some big economic reports are coming out, and that’ll shake things up a bit:

• Job market reports are expected to be weak, which isn’t great for economic confidence.
• China’s central bank is messing with liquidity, which should calm things down for a bit.
• Later in the day, there could be a dip when investors start selling.
• And then, as usual, the Fed might do something that freaks everyone out, causing another drop before things settle again.

So, expect some ups and downs, but nothing unexpected if you know how these things work.

3. Gold is Winning (Because Fiat Money is Losing)

Gold prices are climbing, and that’s a sign that people don’t trust paper money as much anymore. Why?

• Governments keep printing money, making cash worth less over time.
• The economy isn’t actually growing as fast as they claim.
• Inflation is worse than they admit, but they’re trying to hide it.
• Debt is getting out of control.

Long story short: gold is the safe bet when things feel unstable.

4. Bitcoin is Dropping, But That’s Part of the Plan

Bitcoin’s price is down, and a lot of people are freaking out. But here’s the catch: the U.S. government might actually be planning to buy a ton of Bitcoin over the next five years—like, 200,000 BTC per year.

What does that mean?

• Right now, they’re probably keeping prices low so big players can accumulate more before announcing anything official.
• In the short term, Bitcoin might look weak, but in the long run, this could be a setup for a massive rebound.

5. What to Do? Play Smart.

• Bitcoin’s dip is temporary. If you believe in its future, don’t let the panic get to you.
• Gold is still a solid hedge if you want stability.
• Fiat money (USD, EUR, etc.) is slowly losing value, so don’t just sit on cash.
• The big guys (governments and institutions) always load up on assets before making major announcements.

Final Thoughts

The financial world is basically a game of chess, and the people in charge are always a few moves ahead. The economy isn’t as strong as they say, inflation is worse than it looks, and big players are positioning themselves before the next big move. If you stay patient and think long-term, you won’t get caught up in the short-term noise.

So yeah—keep an eye on the real signals, not just the headlines.

Alright, let’s break this down in a simple way. This is basically a timeline of expected market movements throughout the day, based on key financial events. Think of it like a weather forecast, but for trading. In UTC+6 timezone.

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08:00 – 10:00 (Market is Calm – Green)

• This is the “calm before the storm.”
• No major economic reports are out yet, so there’s not much movement in the market. Traders are waiting to see what happens next.

11:00 – 15:00 (Still Green – China Steps In)

• China’s central bank (PBOC) is doing its thing—probably injecting liquidity (which means they’re making sure there’s enough money flowing in the market).
• This stabilizes things, keeping the market in a positive or neutral state.

16:00 – 18:00 (Red – Market Drops)

• Some traders might start selling assets here.
• This could be due to nervousness about upcoming economic data or just short-term profit-taking.
• Expect a bit of a dip.

19:00 – 22:00 (Green Again – ADP Report Helps)

• ADP (a report that tracks private sector jobs) is expected to show positive numbers.
• That’s good news for the economy, so the market reacts positively.

22:00 – 00:00 (Red – Market Drops Again)

• The Federal Reserve (the U.S. central bank) might say or do something that makes investors nervous—like hinting at higher interest rates or pulling back liquidity.
• When the Fed makes moves that tighten financial conditions, the market usually reacts negatively.

01:00 – 08:00 (Green – Liquidity Boosts Market Again)

• The Reverse Repo (RRP) rate drops below $80 billion. That’s a fancy way of saying there’s more liquidity in the system.
• More liquidity means more money available for trading, which helps support the market and push prices up.

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Key Takeaways

• Morning is mostly stable. No big moves early on.
• Midday is influenced by China. If they add liquidity, markets stay green.
• Late afternoon could see selling pressure. Traders might take profits.
• Evening gets a boost from jobs data. But…
• Later at night, the Fed might mess things up. Investors get nervous about central bank actions.
• Overnight, liquidity increases. That helps the market recover.

It’s basically a rollercoaster of liquidity and investor emotions throughout the day.

Dude, Bitcoin just pumped $10K overnight!” 

So, Bitcoin just shot up by $10,000+ in a matter of hours. Crazy, right? But if you were paying attention yesterday, I actually dropped a hint. Remember what I said? “Fake out” isn’t the only word you should be looking at.

Here’s the deal:

• Fundamentals move the market → Meaning, the real reason prices change is because of macroeconomic forces (like interest rates, inflation, and liquidity).
• Technical analysis just helps you time the market → Charts and patterns help predict when a move might happen, but they don’t cause the move.

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Today’s Big Economic Data: Factory Orders & Job Openings (JOLTS)

• Yesterday’s PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) went up, which means business activity is looking strong.
• This confirms something important: Trump’s economic data doesn’t need to be reversed (meaning, it’s showing real trends, not manipulated ones).

Now, the Federal Reserve (the U.S. central bank) and Trump have this little power struggle going on:

• The Fed is saying: “Okay, we won’t raise interest rates for now, but we’re going to drain some liquidity (RRP down) to make it look like the U.S. economy is strong.”
• And guess what? Trump suddenly praised Jerome Powell (the Fed Chair) for not cutting rates yet.
• Basically, Trump needs liquidity, and Powell is giving him just enough bargaining power without fully turning on the money printer.

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How Trump Gets Liquidity from a Strong U.S. Dollar (DXY)

A lot of people are asking:
 “How does Trump get liquidity from the rising U.S. Dollar (DXY)?”

Great question. Here’s the simple version:

• When the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) rises, it means the dollar is getting stronger compared to other currencies.
• But here’s the trick: a strong DXY sucks liquidity from non-dollar assets (just like how Bitcoin sometimes rises while altcoins dump).
• When markets expect DXY to go up, what do investors do? They sell their local currency and buy dollars → This increases the total money supply (M2).
• And guess what? The world’s total debt is now at $360 trillion. Who benefits? The U.S.—because they can just keep borrowing endlessly.

But here’s the catch:

• When DXY is too high, the only way to bring it down is by printing more dollars.
• Printing money = inflation.
• So, the U.S. controls the game:
  • A high DXY lets them absorb liquidity from other countries.
  • When needed, they print new dollars to weaken DXY—but that also creates inflation.
  • The cost of inflation? Spread out across the entire world.

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Elon Musk, Propaganda & The Liquidity Game

• Elon Musk talks a big game, and honestly, his rhetoric is smart.
• Why? Because propaganda is a tool to absorb liquidity.
• The system is designed so that the U.S. can borrow unlimited money while making sure other countries take on part of the inflation burden.

So, the takeaway?
 Bitcoin and gold are going to keep benefiting from this system.
 The U.S. will keep playing this game of DXY manipulation and liquidity control.
 If you understand this, you won’t panic sell—because you know exactly how the market is being played.

Let the weak hands worry. We’re just here stacking.

Alright, let’s break down today’s crypto market forecast in a way that makes sense—like we’re just chatting about what’s gonna happen next.

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“Here’s How Crypto Will Move Today on UTC+6 – The Play-by-Play”

08:00 – 10:00 (Chill Mode ) – Asia Prepares for Action

• The market is cooling off after a big volume move—this is totally normal.
• Asia’s traders are just waking up and getting ready, so don’t expect crazy moves just yet.

11:00 – 15:00 (Green ) – China Steps In

• China’s PBOC (People’s Bank of China) is injecting liquidity again, meaning more money is flowing into the system.
• But there’s one catch: I could be wrong if Pan Gongsheng (China’s central bank governor) is actually not in office today—meaning the liquidity boost could be delayed.

16:00 – 18:00 (Red ) – Asian Market Closing, Time to Short

• This is when Asian traders wrap up their day, and many of them like to lock in profits—which leads to selling pressure.
• Expect a dip as the market reacts to these shorts.

19:00 – 22:00 (Green ) – Factory Orders & JOLTS Data Supports Growth

• Factory orders and job openings (JOLTS) are increasing → This confirms that yesterday’s PMI jump was legit (meaning businesses are actually growing).
• Stronger economy = more confidence = bullish sentiment for crypto.

22:00 – 00:00 (Red ) – The Big Players Manipulate the Market

• This is when Wintermute, Jane Street (JS), and Trump’s network mess around.
• These market makers and high-level players often shake out weak hands with sudden dumps or fake pumps.
• Expect manipulation and volatility—don’t fall for their tricks.

01:00 – 08:00 (Green ) – Liquidity Boost as RRP Falls Again

• Reverse Repo (RRP) drops below $90 billion, which means more money is coming back into the market.
• Liquidity increases → crypto gets a boost.
• This should set up Bitcoin and other assets for an overnight rally.

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Final Takeaway: “Don’t Get Fooled by the Noise”

• The big dips are designed to shake out weak hands.
• If you know what’s coming, you won’t panic and sell too early.
• Liquidity is still flowing, so the bigger trend remains bullish.

Stay sharp, don’t get baited, and ride the waves smartly. 

So, bro, the market’s been wild. You know how it goes—if Saturday is bad, Sunday is usually worse. I tried to fight it, but man, the market hit back hard. Monday to Friday, I stick to the data, so I’m chill when I have numbers to rely on. But weekends? It’s all just speculation.

Today’s big movers: S&P Manufacturing PMI, OPEC decisions, and the RRP (Reverse Repo) situation.

Now, check this out—gold is at an all-time high (ATH) in Canada. That’s huge because when gold hits ATH in one place, it usually follows in others. The weaker Canadian dollar makes mining cheaper, and since Canada is exporting less oil and gas to the U.S., local mining companies might take advantage of lower energy costs to boost production. My prediction? Gold at $3,000 per troy ounce soon.

For crypto today, here’s the timeline:

• Morning (8-10 AM): Market’s still red, but China’s PMI (Caixin) is up, and Japan’s central bank (BoJ) is making moves that weaken the yen.
• Late morning to early afternoon (11 AM – 3 PM): Some green here, though I’m often wrong at this spot. Still trying to figure out what data I’m missing. Meanwhile, Mexican peso, Canadian dollar, and euro are dropping—so Asia might jump in before their currencies fall too.
• Afternoon (4-6 PM): OPEC meeting—big one. If they cut oil production, the U.S. dollar (DXY) pumps, which means a market dip. If they increase supply, DXY drops, and Bitcoin rises. I expect a dip first. Also, Trump hasn’t met with King Salman yet, which could change things.
• Evening (7-11 PM): More red, as S&P Manufacturing is climbing due to tariff news.
• Midnight & beyond (12-8 AM): Market turns green. RRP is falling, and Trump is likely setting up strategies with peso, Canadian dollar, and euro plays.

Now, the real talk:
Crypto traders need to get used to -50% drawdowns. That’s just how it works. If you’re panicking, you probably went all-in—rookie mistake. Always have an exit plan to prevent that. Learn from the pain, remember this loss, and don’t make the same mistake next time. This game isn’t about daily or minute-to-minute trades; it’s a yearly plan. Be patient. We’re all gonna make it.

And about the so-called “whales” and market makers:
People sell? That’s their right. Some folks get mad at big players taking profits (TP), but honestly, everyone’s a whale in some way—centralized exchanges, hedge funds, even governments. The real question is: when is AM buying?

Bigger picture:
Leadership changes always mess with market patterns. Under Biden, if economic data looked good, Bitcoin still went up, even if DXY rose—because, well, the data was “adjusted” to look good. Now, with Trump, things are shifting, but the data hasn’t fully caught up to the new leadership style. I’m still figuring out when we can confidently say, “If DXY goes up, Bitcoin goes down” again. The hesitation? Gold’s ATH is throwing off the usual correlations.

BTC’s real value is already high, but if we’re talking about Bitcoin as a reserve asset, there’s still massive upside. Last week, I mentioned that China’s absence has dried up liquidity. But with Caixin PMI holding up, it means China still has money to move the markets. I think they’ll start playing again soon.

Let’s see how this plays out. I’m still confident.

So, you know how Trump always needs money, right? The U.S. is basically broke—like, really broke. The Republicans are blocking the debt ceiling, Biden is trying to make the economy look good, but in reality, it’s a mess. So where does Trump get his cash? By boosting the local economy.

How? First, he makes it harder to import stuff by raising tariffs. Then, he hands out cheap loans to local businesses. This way, money circulates within the country instead of flowing out. Remember what China did before? Same playbook.

Now, let’s talk about today’s market moves.

• Morning till afternoon (8 AM – 3 PM UTC+6) → Green market, but we gotta wait and see what Mexico, China, and Canada say. What if Mexico joins BRICS? That’d be wild.
• Afternoon to late evening (4 PM – 11 PM) → Chill mode.
• Midnight to morning (12 AM – 8 AM) → No clue yet, gotta wait for the data.

Big picture? The U.S. has nothing valuable—no spices, no rare earth metals, no steel, no essential industrial materials. If they don’t import, they’re screwed. Look at the tariff rates: 25% for Canada and Mexico, but only 10% for China. That’s nothing for China.

Here’s how the money flow works:

1. Tariffs make local currencies weaker.
2. Everyone starts swapping into USD (DXY).
3. Once the USD is strong, they cut interest rates and throw in stimulus.
4. Boom, countries with high tariffs become Trump’s exit liquidity.

Makes sense, right?

Meanwhile, Japan’s PMI is up, but their central bank (BoJ) is hinting that even if they raise interest rates, the Yen won’t strengthen. Same deal with China’s PMI—good numbers, but their currency gets weaker. Tariffs drive up inflation, and Bitcoin dipped because major announcements dropped on the weekend when liquidity couldn’t react fast enough.

And here’s the cycle:

• Market dips, panic sets in.
• Suddenly, they announce that Bitcoin is now an official reserve asset.
• Politicians play their games while regular people get used as exit liquidity.

One thing to remember: gold is the ultimate measure of liquidity.
If gold goes up, it means the economy is running on existing money, not new production.
If the economy is struggling and gold is rising—well, you get the picture.

Now, swap out “gold” for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin at $100K? Chill, it’s just another day. Since 2019, the pattern has been the same—when gold goes up, Bitcoin follows. Don’t overreact, just ride the waves. Volatility is where the real money is made.

Gold is money. Everything else? Just debt.