Author: ngadmin

Hey, so here’s the deal with the crypto market today.

Morning (8-10 AM UTC+6):

The market’s looking a bit red (down) early on, which is pretty normal. No big surprises here.

Late Morning to Afternoon (11 AM – 3 PM UTC+6):

Things start turning green (up) because of some big news from China and Japan. Over the weekend, China made an announcement, and their Caixin PMI (a measure of economic health) came out strong. Japan’s Jibun Bank PMI also showed some positive signs. Plus, there’s talk about BlackRock making moves, which is always a big deal. Oh, and the Yen and Yuan are feeling the effects of inflation, so people are looking for safer bets.

Late Afternoon (4-6 PM UTC+6):

The market dips back into red territory. Just a little breather, I guess.

Evening (7-11 PM UTC+6):

Green again! This time, it’s because the US PMI (another economic health indicator) is rising, which suggests some stimulus might be coming soon. People are optimistic.

Late Night to Early Morning (11 PM – 8 AM UTC+6):

The market goes red overnight, but then turns green again early in the morning because of a drop in the RRP (Reverse Repo Rate). This means there’s more money circulating, which is usually good for markets.

Now, let’s talk fundamentals. Some people argue fundamentals don’t matter, but look at the bigger picture: M2 money supply is up, interest rates are still at 4.5%, and RRP is heading to zero. These aren’t just random numbers—they tell us where the market is heading. Fundamentals drive the market, while technical analysis helps with timing. You need both. If you ignore one, you’re flying blind.

Oh, and check this out—Japan’s 30-year government bond yield just hit 2.365%, the highest since 2008. What does that mean? Investors are piling into bonds to protect themselves from inflation, and the Japanese government clearly needs cash to keep their economy running. Long-term bonds rising like this screams economic desperation.

China’s Caixin PMI is predicted to go up, which usually means stronger economic activity there. Meanwhile, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI is expected to dip. Since China and the US dominate global trade, this creates an interesting dynamic—when one rises, the other often falls.

So why do I think Monday will be green?

1. The Yen is weakening because Japan’s bond yields are rising.

2. China’s economy is getting a boost from the PBOC (China’s central bank).

3. The US dollar index (DXY) is dropping as manufacturing slows, but the Fed can’t step in yet because their debt ceiling issue isn’t resolved.

4. The RRP is dropping, which means more liquidity in the market.

The Big Question. Consumer confidence is down, retail sales are down, factory orders are down… so why are companies spending more? Why is the PMI up? It’s because they’re anticipating stimulus. They’re buying now before prices go up due to inflation. It’s like they know something’s coming.

Also, remember this: if Sunday’s market makes an early move (either up or down), Monday usually follows the trend. If Sunday is red, Monday could be worse. But if Sunday is neutral or green, Monday should be solid. Based on the factory spending trend, I’m betting on a green Monday—not because of real demand, but because investors are getting ahead of the game. Plus, with RRP falling, there will be more cash floating around.

So, there you have it! A mix of data, anticipation, and a little bit of market psychology. What do you think?

Today’s crypto market is expected to move in this patterns on UTC+6 timezone. From 8:00 AM to 3:00 PM, it’s likely to be green (prices going up). Then, from 4:00 PM to 11:00 PM, it might turn red (prices dropping). After midnight until 8:00 AM, it’s expected to go green again. So, if you’re planning to trade, keep an eye on these windows.

Now, let’s talk about what’s driving the market. China’s PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) has gone up, which means their economy is doing better. This increase in economic activity is causing more money to circulate, leading to inflation in the Chinese Yuan. This inflation is affecting other currencies like the US Dollar, Japanese Yen, and South Korean Won. Basically, when the Yuan inflates, it eats into the value of these other currencies.

Last week, there was a mistake in the analysis because the end-of-month RRP (Reverse Repurchase Agreements) spike wasn’t considered. But tomorrow, the RRP is expected to drop, which could be good news for the market. If Saturday turns out to be a green day, next week might be even greener. Let’s see if that plays out.

Inflation is a hot topic right now. In February, inflation rose, and the Federal Reserve (the Fed) is expected to take a dovish stance, meaning they might not raise interest rates aggressively. This could actually be great news for Bitcoin in March because when the Fed is dovish, investors often turn to assets like Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation.

But here’s the thing: some people are saying inflation is going down. Really? How can that be when the M2 money supply (the total amount of money in circulation) is increasing? More money in the system usually means higher inflation, not lower.

Goldman Sachs, one of the biggest names in finance, just “gave up” on the US economy. They’re basically saying things aren’t looking great. And you know how politics works—people are already starting to find reasons to criticize Trump again. It’s like the honeymoon phase of his presidency is over. Remember how every new president promises to fix everything in the first 100 days? Well, after 100 days, they usually say, “Actually, it’s not 100 days—it’s a 5-year plan.” Sound familiar?

Goldman’s data shows they’ve thrown in the towel, and they’re saying the US is heading into a recession under Trump’s administration. The biggest red flag? Inflation. Trade uncertainties are skyrocketing, and tariffs (taxes on imports) are pushing inflation even higher. (For context, inflation above 2% is considered high.)

30-year inflation is peaking, and government spending cuts are pulling fiscal policy deeper into trouble. This is going to have ripple effects everywhere. Layoffs in the government sector are already happening. According to President Biden’s definition, a recession has already started because the growth in public sector jobs (like government workers and healthcare employees) that used to dominate the economy is now being wiped out by companies like Elon Musk’s. The economic optimism from Trump’s early days is fading, and the market isn’t convinced that the tariffs will actually work.

The market is predicting that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates by 2026. Stimulus packages are still stuck, and GDP growth is slowing down. Goldman Sachs has basically admitted defeat. But is the US really in a recession? Well, not entirely. The PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) is still rising, and private capital is driving growth. This is Goldman’s “secret sauce”—they believe big private investments are about to pour in, followed by government spending. When that happens, boom! The economy could take off again.

But here’s my take: no matter who you ask, the real issue is liquidity. The economy is dry, and it needs to be “watered” with more money. Whether it’s through private investments, government spending, or stimulus, the system needs more cash flow to keep going.

So, what does this mean for crypto? Well, with inflation rising and the Fed printing more money, assets like Bitcoin could see increased interest as a store of value. Keep an eye on the market today, and let’s see how things play out!

The U.S. economy is kinda struggling. The Core PCE (which is a fancy way of measuring inflation) dropped from 2.9% to 2.6%. That might sound like a good thing, but it’s actually a sign that people are feeling the pinch. Wages went up by 0.9%, but spending dropped by 0.2%. Basically, folks are earning a bit more but spending less because life’s getting expensive. The Federal Reserve (the Fed) is in a tough spot—they can’t really raise interest rates anymore without making things worse. Millions of jobs have already disappeared, inflation isn’t under control yet, and debt is piling up. It’s a mess.

Speaking of Bitcoin, the market’s been pretty chill lately. Over the weekend, prices didn’t move much—whether it went up or down, it all evened out by the end of the day. It’s like the market’s taking a breather.

But here’s the thing: everything feels chaotic right now. From crypto scams (rug-pulls) to talks of interest rate cuts, it’s like the world’s throwing everything at us at once. February has been a weird month—traders are focusing more on technical analysis than fundamentals. Some sectors, like AI, meme stocks, and Nasdaq, are all over the place. Meanwhile, government bonds are falling because investors are worried the economy isn’t growing enough.

ZeroHedge put it best: “From Rug-Pulls To Rate-Cuts: Everything, Everywhere, All At Once.” It really is chaos.

– The economy? Slowing down.

– Inflation? No more disinflation—it’s gearing up for a second wave.

– Crypto? Getting wrecked.

– AI stocks, meme coins, momentum plays? Swinging like crazy.

– Government bonds? Falling, because investors are scared the economy won’t grow.

– Interest rates? Hopes for cuts are rising—now markets think there could be three cuts in 2025 instead of just one.

Now, over in China, the Politburo (their top decision-makers) made some predictable moves over the weekend. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) is pumping money into the economy, and their M1 money supply (cash and easy-to-access funds) is rising. This could mean the bear market (when prices are falling) isn’t coming anytime soon. The Chinese yuan is weakening, and other Asian currencies are following suit. This is actually good news for Bitcoin because when traditional currencies lose value, people often turn to crypto as a hedge.

Watch on TikTok

China just released their NBS Manufacturing PMI (which is basically a measure of how well their factories are doing), and it came in at 50.2. That’s a bit higher than the forecast of 49.9 and way better than the previous 49.1. On paper, that looks good—like their manufacturing sector is picking up. But here’s the catch: how is this happening when the overall economy is kinda struggling?

The thing is, this boost in factory spending isn’t coming from actual economic growth or people buying more products. Instead, it’s likely coming from injections of money—either from the central bank, investors, or government debt. Basically, the government and banks are pumping money into the system to keep things moving. They’re making loans cheaper and offering subsidies on stuff like electronics, cars, and houses to encourage people to spend more. It’s like they’re trying to kickstart the economy by making people feel like it’s a good time to buy things.

But here’s the twist: this kind of liquidity (cash flow) isn’t coming from real economic growth. It’s just moving money that already exists around the system. And when you do that, it can lead to inflation because there’s more money chasing the same amount of goods and services. So, while it might look like the economy is improving, it’s really just a temporary fix.

Now, what does this mean for Bitcoin? Well, when traditional economies are shaky and governments are printing or injecting money like this, people often turn to Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and uncertainty. So, even though things might look messy now, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin is still pretty bright. The bear market (when prices drop) isn’t here yet, and 2025 could still be a good year for crypto.

The U.S. economy is sending mixed signals: unemployment claims are up (242K vs. the expected 221K), GDP is stuck at 2.3%, and durable goods orders are rising, but credit card debt is soaring. Pending home sales are up slightly, but not enough to cheer about. All this shows the economy is kinda shaky right now.

Bitcoin’s been struggling, mostly because of some weak economic data—like rising unemployment claims and stagnant GDP. But at the same time, spending is still up, and the housing market isn’t totally dead yet. Basically, the economy looks messy, and that’s what’s shaping the current market sentiment. But here’s the interesting part: the RSI is low. That usually means it might be oversold, so there could be a buying opportunity soon if things stabilize.

Today, we’ve got some key economic data coming out: PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures), personal income, and personal spending. The Fed loves PCE because it shows how inflation affects personal spending—basically, how much people are buying despite rising prices. The Fed cares more about that than just inflation numbers like CPI or PPI. Why? Because they want to know if people are still spending money, even if prices are high. To them, we’re just numbers on a spreadsheet (lol).

Speaking of inflation, the GDP Price Index is up, which means inflation is still a problem. But here’s the twist: even though inflation is high, the Fed can’t go full “hawkish” (raising rates aggressively) because the economy is too fragile. That’s actually good for Bitcoin in the long run because it stays attractive as an inflation hedge.

Oh, and China is stirring the pot too. Their offshore yuan is dropping against the dollar, and the PBOC (China’s central bank) is injecting billions into the market to keep things stable. That usually gives Bitcoin a little boost during their trading hours (11-15:00 UTC+6).

As for today’s market movement, here’s the playbook at UTC+6:

– 8:00-10:00 Probably red (downward).

– 11:00-15:00 Green (upward)—China often surprises with injections.

– 16:00-18:00 Red again.

– 19:00-22:00 Green—PCE data might lift the mood.

– 23:00-8:00 Red—end-of-month RRP (Reverse Repo) spikes usually cause a dip, but it might just be a temporary wick.

Now, here’s the thing—Bitcoin is volatile because its market cap is still “only” around 1 trillion. Big buys and sells shake things up a lot. Long story short, the market is volatile, but there’s a case for staying bullish on Bitcoin. Why? Because asset managers like BlackRock and Fidelity aren’t playing the short game—they’re in it for the long haul (think 10 years, not 10 minutes). They’re not worried about daily price swings; they’re focused on Bitcoin’s role as an inflation hedge. And with inflation still a concern, demand for Bitcoin as a store of value isn’t going away anytime soon.

So, yeah, the market’s messy right now, but if you’re in it for the long term, there’s still reason to be optimistic. Just don’t stress over every little dip or spike—focus on the bigger picture.

Crypto world is buzzing right now, and there’s a lot going on. Let’s start with Bitcoin—it’s sitting around 82,000 and the RRP (Reverse Repo) balance has skyrocketed to 126 billion, which is pretty wild. But here’s the crazy part—altcoins (those smaller, riskier coins) have gone up even more than when Bitcoin was at 92K. Makes you wonder, right? Some people analyze Bitcoin but end up buying altcoins instead.

Here’s the thing with Bitcoin: it’s not about the wild ups and downs anymore. What people are waiting for is stability—slow, steady growth driven by fundamentals, not just market manipulation. Think of it like inflation: it creeps up slowly but surely.

Now, let’s talk about today’s market movements (in UTC+6 timezone):

8:00-10:00 Markets open, but it’s chill—nothing crazy.

11:00-15:00 Not much happening except some data from Japan. Bitcoin’s just coasting.

16:00-18:00 Things might dip a bit (red zone).

18:00-22:00 Some positive data comes out—claims are up, but GDP and pending home sales are down. Bitcoin could rise here.

23:00-08:00 The Reverse Repo Program (RRP) spikes, and Bitcoin might dip again.

Now, let’s talk about the bigger picture. The U.S. economy is throwing some curveballs. New home sales dropped, which usually means the dollar (DXY) should weaken, but instead, it got stronger. Why? Because the debt ceiling got approved, which gave the dollar a temporary boost. But don’t get too excited—it’s likely just a “higher low,” meaning it’ll probably drop again soon. The Fed is in a tough spot too. If they were truly data-dependent, they’d be freaking out and cutting interest rates already. Jobs are down, unemployment is up, housing is struggling, and even though money’s been printed, it’s not circulating well. But nope, the Fed’s holding steady at 4.5%, which is still too high for investments to really take off.

Watch on TikTok

New home sales are plunging because mortgage rates spiked. That’s bad news, but the dollar’s still strong because the government’s making money off mortgages. It’s like they’re trying to prevent deflation by issuing more debt. And get this—credit card defaults just hit $46 billion, the highest since the 2008 financial crisis. That’s scary, but Powell (the Fed chair) isn’t sweating it yet because consumer spending (PCE) is still holding up. But if unemployment keeps rising, he might have to cut rates.

Speaking of rates, Trump’s out here playing 4D chess. He’s pushing to cut deficits and doesn’t care if the stock market takes a hit. But the market’s going to test him—if stocks drop more than 10%, he might back off. Meanwhile, he’s pressuring the Fed to cut rates by messing with the data. It’s a whole power struggle, and liquidity is the key. When liquidity dries up, Bitcoin tends to drop. So, keep an eye on that.

China just injected 215 billion yuan into the system via reverse repos. That’s a big deal because it shows they’re keeping liquidity flowing, which could pump Bitcoin. But here’s the funny thing—they always make these announcements *after* the market closes. Why not do it in the morning? Who knows, but it’s working.

BlackRock just sold 5,002 Bitcoin. Fidelity sold 1,730 Bitcoin. In total, 8,200 Bitcoin has been dumped in just three days. But hold on—Fidelity still holds 200,000 BTC, and BlackRock has nearly 600,000. Selling 0.3% of their stash isn’t exactly a panic move. They’re pros—they know what they’re doing. More likely, it’s weak investors selling off while these hedge funds quietly keep stacking. After all, they don’t get to manage billions by making dumb moves.

The bottom line? Bitcoin’s down, but altcoins are holding strong, which is a sign that people still believe in Bitcoin’s long-term potential. It’s like the market’s saying, “Yeah, Bitcoin’s taking a hit, but we’re not giving up on it.” So, while things might look shaky now, there’s still a lot of faith in the crypto space. Just keep an eye on liquidity, Fed decisions, and those big players—they’re the ones calling the shots.

So, imagine the crypto world is like a rollercoaster ride today. Bitcoin, the big boss of cryptocurrencies, took a dip down to 86K. Ouch, right? Earlier predictions missed the mark, so that’s a bit of a bummer. But hey, it happens! Meanwhile, in the real world, people aren’t feeling too confident about the economy (Consumer Confidence is down), but oddly enough, house prices are still going up. What’s the deal with that? Well, this weird combo is making people think that interest rates might get cut soon to help things out.

Now, here’s the interesting part: even though Bitcoin dropped from 91K to 86K, the value of other smaller cryptocurrencies (altcoins) stayed pretty much the same. That’s a good sign—it means these altcoins might bounce back quickly. And why are house prices rising? It’s because there’s more money floating around (M2 Supply is up). So, the market might still have some ups and downs, but overall, it’s looking like it could recover. The government might need to step in soon, though, because people aren’t feeling great about the economy.

Now, let’s talk about how the market might move today (based on UTC+6 timezone):

8 AM – 10 AM: Chill time—nothing major happening.

10 AM – 3 PM: Things might look good because the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) is injecting money into the system. Also, Japan’s core CPI data came out, and the RRP (a fancy term for short-term borrowing) went up by 96 million. Green lights all around!

4 PM – 6 PM: Things might dip a bit as markets close and Japan starts short-selling (betting on prices going down).

7 PM – 10 PM: Back to green! New home sales are down, but M2 supply is up, which is good news.

11 PM – 4 AM: Another dip, as RRP rises toward the end of the month.

5 AM – 8 AM: Things get a bit wobbly (wicky), so keep an eye out.

In other news, China’s Hang Seng Tech Index shot up over 3% today, thanks to tech stocks. Even though the economy isn’t doing great, the central bank is pumping money into state-owned banks to boost the market. This kind of thing usually hints at inflation, which, funny enough, is good for Bitcoin.

Watch on TikTok

Over in the U.S., it looks like Trump might win again, and the market is pushing the Federal Reserve (the Fed) to cut interest rates, even though Trump is slapping tariffs on a lot of trading partners. How do we know if the Fed will cut rates in March? We’ll have to watch the Core CPI (a measure of inflation). If it stays low, they might cut rates, but if it goes up, they’ll probably hold off. For now, it’s looking like they’ll pause, but even a pause could help Bitcoin rise.

Here’s the thing: with interest rates at 4.5% and more money in circulation (M2 Supply up), inflation isn’t going away anytime soon. Trump’s tariffs are more about keeping money in the U.S. than fighting inflation. So, while my earlier predictions might’ve been off, I’m still using Bitcoin as a guide to figure out if altcoins are worth holding or if we’re heading into a bear market.

Anyway, today looks like a good day for altcoins. Bitcoin’s correcting itself, but Ethereum (the second-biggest crypto) is looking strong. This might mean altcoins are starting to move independently of Bitcoin (decoupling), which could be a big deal. If Ethereum rises more than Bitcoin, it could mean Bitcoin’s liquidity is dropping, and altcoins might perform better.

So, what’s the takeaway? Stay calm, don’t panic sell, and if this is your first time in a market cycle, remember: if you’re feeling panicky, you might’ve invested more than you can handle. Just breathe and ride the wave!

“Bro, people keep saying Bitcoin is a scam, but I’m not selling. No way. Markets are wild right now—interest rates are up, the dollar is strengthening, but somehow gold is also rising? Weird mix, right? Either way, I’m holding onto my BTC, even if I keep getting it wrong. My logic? If I don’t take profit, then Bitcoin must be a scam.

Anyway, today’s a big day—Japan’s central bank is opening, China might inject liquidity, and we’ve got a bunch of economic reports dropping: housing prices, consumer confidence, money supply, and reverse repo. Basically, I need to be green today.

But man, market makers and big players are crazy smart. They time everything perfectly. Like, yesterday they shorted right when:

• The U.S. had no major economic data.
• Japan’s central bank was closed.
• Reverse repo was climbing.
• Trump was giving a speech.
• Michael Saylor was buying more BTC.
• Jamie Dimon (JP Morgan CEO) was bearish.
• The Japanese Yen wasn’t weakening.

Then today, boom—South Korea cuts interest rates, the Yen weakens, money supply jumps, and suddenly yesterday’s price action gets reversed. These guys are surgical, man. If there’s an internship program for market manipulation, I’d apply for free just to learn.

Also, Goldman Sachs is basically saying, ‘No panic yet, but people are uneasy.’ Hedge funds are pulling back risk, big investment firms are sitting on the sidelines, and while everyone’s ignoring ‘new COVID’ and Microsoft’s data center drama, geopolitics are a big concern.

And Trump? He’s acting like he doesn’t care that the economy is cracking. Which is weird, right? What kind of president just lets things break without a clear plan? At least when China tightens liquidity, we know why. But the U.S.? Kinda sus. There’s no way they’ll just let liquidity dry up forever—people need money to spend. Watch—if the Nasdaq crashes, that’s when Trump will finally chill out. Right now, since the stock market is at all-time highs, he’s acting untouchable. But when’s the crash? No clue.

Here’s the fun part: Citadel, a giant in traditional finance, is stepping into crypto as a liquidity provider. That’s huge because it means Jane Street, another big player, won’t be able to manipulate prices as easily since Citadel has way more money to play with. So those usual market dips at 10 PM? Might not happen anymore. When does this kick in? Not sure.

All in all, I still think this week ends green. We’ve had three weeks of indecisiveness in the market (doji candles), so a breakout feels overdue.

One last thing—Trump is all about tariffs, but the only thing that can stop him is a stock market crash. Gold is up, stocks are showing signs of stress, and big names like Warren Buffett are selling stocks while holding the most cash in history. That’s saying something.

Oh, and just so you know—money supply is increasing in both the U.S. and China, gold is rising, interest rates are 4.5%, the U.S. is running a $36 trillion debt, and the interest payments on that debt are bigger than the country’s defense budget. Unemployment is at 4%, and layoffs keep coming. Basically, Trump is locking up liquidity the same way China does.

Wild times, bro. But me? I’m still holding. Not selling. Let’s see how this plays out. ”

Hey, so let me tell you what’s happening in the crypto and financial world today. It’s like a rollercoaster, with ups and downs, and a lot of behind-the-scenes action.

First, the day started slow—nothing major happening in the early hours. China delayed releasing some economic data, so markets in Asia (like China and Japan) didn’t have much to react to. But as the day went on, things started heating up.

Here’s how the day is expected to play out (in UTC+6 timezone):

8:00-10:00: Chill vibes, nothing unusual.

10:00-15:00: Things turn green (positive) because China’s central bank (PBOC) injected money into the market, which usually boosts confidence. At the same time, the Japanese Yen is weakening, which often helps other assets like crypto.

16:00-18:00: A dip (red) happens—probably some profit-taking or market adjustments.

19:00-22:00: Back to green! This time, it’s because of China’s foreign investment (FDI) and the Yen still being weak. Plus, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is dropping, which is good for Bitcoin and other riskier assets.

22:00-24:00: Another dip (red) as market makers (big players) might be manipulating prices a bit.

01:00-08:00: Green again! People are watching the Reverse Repo Program (RRP)—a fancy term for how much cash is floating around in the system. If it drops to zero, it could mean more liquidity, which is good for Bitcoin. Even though RRP usually rises at the end of the month, Bitcoin might not care if it senses extra cash is coming.

Watch on TikTok

Now, here’s the bigger picture:

Liquidity is flowing: The US Treasury is injecting a ton of money (up to $842 billion) into the system. This is like a temporary version of Quantitative Easing (QE), which means more cash is available. When this happens, the US Dollar tends to weaken, and that’s usually good for stocks, commodities, and Bitcoin.

China is also pumping money: They injected 292.5 billion Yuan into their market, which keeps things liquid. But Bitcoin seems to be lagging—like it’s waiting for the right moment to move. Some think this is because ETFs (big investment funds) are holding back, maybe waiting to squeeze short sellers or for the Yen to weaken further.

Oh, and don’t forget, the US is in a weird transition phase politically (Biden to Trump), which could lead to more money printing (QE). That’s always something to watch.

In summary:

Stocks, Gold, Bitcoin: Likely to go up.

Bonds, Oil, Dollar: Likely to go down.

So, it’s a day of waiting, watching, and seeing how all these big moves play out. Bitcoin is like that friend who’s chilling in the corner, waiting for the perfect moment to jump into the party.

So, today’s crypto market? Pretty chill. Nothing wild. Yesterday it closed at 96K, today it’s at 96.6K—just a tiny 0.6% move. Not much action.

Now, here’s something interesting: if Saturday closes green, Sunday usually goes even greener. Why?

Let’s look at how the market moves throughout the day (based on UTC+6 time):

• 8 AM – 3 PM → Slow and mostly red. Stock markets are closed, and ETFs (exchange-traded funds) don’t trade on Sundays.
• 4 PM – 11 PM → Starts turning green. Retail investors (the everyday traders) begin jumping in.
• Midnight – 8 AM → Green continues.

But wait, why was Saturday green in the first place?

It’s because big institutions in the U.S. started buying early. Since the stock market is closed on Sunday, they load up on Saturday instead. Then, on Sunday, retail traders in the U.S. take their turn and push prices up.

What about Korea and China? Well, their liquidity (how much money flows in and out) just isn’t big enough to move the market like the U.S. can. If Korea can’t move the price much, imagine Zimbabwe—barely makes a dent.

Here’s a fun fact: Asia is often seen as “exit liquidity” for Western traders. Basically, Western institutions make their moves, and Asian traders react instead of leading. Why? Because in Asia, people are generally more focused on work than politics or macroeconomics. Most traders here just follow technical analysis (TA) instead of understanding the bigger picture behind price moves. They just want quick profits without caring about the “story” behind the charts.

Watch on TikTok

Now, back to Bitcoin’s usual behavior: 2 steps up, 1 step down—that’s the typical pattern. If it doesn’t move like that, it’s probably not fundamentals driving it but rather market makers (big players manipulating the market). Fundamentals create trends, but daily price movements are driven by short-term data and emotions.

So, what happens next?

• If Sunday ends green → Monday is likely green.
• If Sunday is red → Monday will be even redder.
• If Monday is a holiday → Sunday might turn red, and the market will start moving on Monday instead.

And that’s the game. Simple patterns, but understanding the “why” behind them is what separates smart traders from those just chasing numbers.

So, the market’s been a bit crazy today. First, PMI (the thing that tracks how well the manufacturing sector is doing) went up, which means the economy’s getting some extra cash flow. But, housing sales are dropping, which is a sign people aren’t buying homes as much. And inflation? Looks like it might be creeping up because of that. There’s definitely money flowing in somewhere, but it’s not all from real growth. So, the economy feels kinda like it’s being propped up right now. Now, here’s where it gets interesting. On Friday, there was a quick spike in the market, but that was probably just a blip because it was right before the weekend.

Ben Zhou: Bybit is Solvent even if this hack loss is not recovered, all of clients assets are 1 to 1 backed, we can cover the loss.

And then Bybit—one of the big crypto exchanges—got hacked. But here’s the thing, hacks like this happen all the time. It’s kinda like a test to see if the company will step up and fix it. Bybit’s CEO even came out saying, “We’ve got it covered. All your assets are still safe with us.” So, it’s not the end of the world, but it’s a reminder that you have to trust the exchange you’re using.

The bigger picture? Hacks are pretty normal in crypto. What matters is whether the company takes responsibility and fixes it. A solid exchange is one that’s been hacked before and came back stronger. But what you really need to focus on is LEGALITY. If an exchange gets hit with a big fine, that could be just as bad as it being a scam.

And then there’s this whole idea that Bitcoin is a hedge against inflation. Think of it this way: imagine you and I each have 100 million in cash. If the bank prints more money and suddenly there’s 350 million in the bank, that money loses value. This is why things like gold and Bitcoin go up in price—they’re protecting us from the value of money going down.

A lot of people think that Bitcoin goes up just because it’s being bought more. But it actually goes up because it’s a hedge against inflation. It’s like how my dad always talks about how the house he bought for 200 million is now worth 2 billion. It’s not because the house has changed, but because the money has lost value.

Bitcoin is being driven up because it’s protecting against inflation, especially as currencies like the Yuan are losing value. China’s economy is massive, and when their currency inflates, it pushes more people towards Bitcoin.

To sum it up: Bitcoin is a response to inflation, not just something that goes up because people are buying it. And as long as inflation keeps creeping up, whether it’s in the U.S. or China, Bitcoin’s price will likely keep climbing too. So, even if things look unstable, Bitcoin’s got a solid role in this whole mess.